The December report from the US Department of Agriculture has reduced the total production of Oranges to 49.6 million boxes. This is down from 80 million in October, and 74 million in November. Reports from Brazil state that the new crop will be 220 million boxes, down from last year’s total of 264 million. In line with this deterioration, prices on Oil and Terpenes continue their dizzying climb.
The most recent reports we’ve received indicate that production of Anise oil is limited as low prices have discouraged farmers from distilling. With carryover nearing completion, we would expect prices to rise.
With demand for Menthol Powder in China dramatically off, the Indians have reported that total Menthol exports this year are around two thirds of 2014/2015. They are also reporting that speculators are taking positions in the hope that by limiting spot availability, they can force prices up. Belief is that this strategy will be short-lived. Menthol prices are stable but the off demand has caused Cornmint DMO to increase in price and decrease in availability.
Pricing for Eucalyptus oil has softened slightly as new Oil has entered the market. Reports from one supplier, however, claim that demand is increasing and pricing is firm. Eucalyptol pricing has also softened.
With the ever falling price of Petroleum, prices for this derivative have softened.
One supplier believes that prices will continue to rise through 2016. With strict enforcement of pollution controls, Oil is supposedly only produced when there are orders in hand. Several reports have indicated that pricing will reach $250/kg.
Limited availability has seen an escalation in pricing. It is hope that March’s crop will bring some relief.
Prices have stabilized and availability seems to cover demand.
Continued rains and surprisingly large demand for this time of year have driven pricing for this already scarce material upward. With the expected end of rains in first quarter 2016, it is hoped that this trend will reverse.
Last year’s surge in internal usage and heavy rains have pushed prices up above historic highs. No relief is expected in the near future.
Reports of an off crop from both Chinese and European sources have caused limited availability, leading to a rise in prices.
Tree tapping has ended and our most recent report has advised that pricing for Gum Resin is stable. It also states that demand is increasing as many new inquiries have been received by Gum Resin processors. It would appear that many expect prices to increase in February for this important feedstock. Presently, prices for downstream derivatives remain soft.