Manufacturers are citing several reasons for the current shortage of this material in China. Firstly, a multinational has purchased a large amount of Cedarwood unexpectedly, causing a shortage and dramatic price increase for raw material. Rain in the growing regions has prevented harvesting, contributing to the price rises and availability issues. The situation is expected to persist for several more months.
Our most recent report from July 23rd advises that new demand for Gum Resin has changed the dynamics of the market. Pricing has stabilized, reversing a trend of softening over the last few weeks. While processors are hoping to see the downward trend continue, the report states that Gum Resin Manufacturers are keeping their offers firm. Gum Turpentine prices have remained stable except in Guangdong where they have increased. Prices for IBA, DHM, and Synthetic Camphor among others have begun to increase.
Situation unchanged. Prices for Haitian Oil continue to rise as demand exceeds supply. Oil from Indonesia is not readily available at any price.
The Spice markets continue to advise issues. Fresh Pepper from Indonesia will not be available until August. Fresh Pepper from India is not competitive against Vietnamese. Pricing for oil is firm.
We have received reports that many dealers are sold out. Prices continue to firm as demand has not slackened. Change is not expected at least until the new crop in 2017.
The new crop will not be available for several more weeks and prices are still firm.
While we are aware of new pollution restrictions, dealers have advised that demand for Fresh Ginger for seasonings has dramatically increased, limiting what is available for the production of oil. One dealer advises that Dried Ginger will not be available for oil production until around December.
Situation unchanged. The crop is small and prices are high.
Several reports indicated that the Cornmint Oil crop will be around 40,000 tons. A reliable source has provided a state-by-state breakdown that estimates production in 2016 will be 33,860 tons. Menthol content and average yield across all areas was normal. L-Menthyl Acetate content showed to be slightly higher due to the crop being processed before it had fully matured. This source also claims that stocks in the MCX warehouses are down to 16,400 drums from over 39,000 drums. The need to replenish these stocks has had an impact on current price levels. In the last few weeks prices have firmed. While currency changes have been cited as a reason, restocking of the MCX warehouse has likely had an impact on the price.
With the Spring Crop over and production costs higher than those of last year prices have stayed firm. Relief is not expected, if at all, until the Fall Crop arrives in November and December.
With the Spring Crop over and very little carryover, prices are beginning to firm. The market is expected to stay firm until the new crop is available in late October and early November.
Continuing their climb, prices from source are threatening to break another three digit milestone. The spice market continues to report that demand is exceeding available stock. Garlic dehydrators are having to pay more for both raw materials and waste disposal. Oil processors are reluctant to produce oil without firm orders. Indications point towards this being a long term situation.
New oil is beginning to enter the market as there are unsolicited offers. These new offers are still high as reports continue to say that oil is limited. We are being advised that prices will not ease until October.
Situation unchanged. Prices are firm and supply is limited.
Demand continues to exceed available supply. Prices are expected to continue firming.
Processing costs have risen, as disposing of waste continues to be an issue. The spent cedar fiber is high volume and low weight, making it uneconomical to transport by truck. Prices for both of these oils continue to firm.