Orange Oil Brazil

Brazil’s upcoming orange crop (Citrus sinensis) is showing real signs of recovery, with Fundecitrus forecasting a 36% increase over last year. The 2025–2026 season is expected to reach 314.6 million boxes which is a return to the ten-year average and a welcome shift after several tough seasons. 

The improvement is largely thanks to better weather and a strong second bloom, triggered by rainfall in late 2024. This second bloom accounts for nearly 70% of the crop and has produced smaller fruit, but in much higher numbers per tree. 

Harvest timing is slightly later this year, especially for varieties like Valencia and Natal, which may influence oil availability. Average fruit weights are down a little, but overall productivity is up, especially in the Southwest region. 

Growers have reinvested in grove care, improving irrigation and pest control following better returns last season but it should be noted that fruit drop is expected to be higher than usual at around 20%. 

All in all, this is a promising update for the orange oil market. 

SOURCE

Fundecitrus – Executive Summary of Orange Crop Forecast for the 2025–2026 Season, May 9, 2025 
www.fundecitrus.com.br